The Beltway press tried to
make the passage of President Obama’s nuclear sellout to Iran look like
a moment of high political drama, but you could tell their hearts
weren’t really in it.
Everyone knew this was a
done deal from the very beginning, thanks to the efforts of the true
“deciding vote,” Republican Senator Bob Corker of Tennessee.
Democrat Barbara
Mikulski might have been the 34th vote from her party that made it
impossible for the Senate majority to stop the deal, but Corker was the
key figure in turning Congressional rules upside-down and rendering the
majority powerless.
Everything since Corker’s deal has been mere theater, with Corker
himself an occasional star performer. “From my perspective, Mr.
Secretary, I’m sorry. Not unlike a hotel guest that leaves only with a
hotel bathrobe on his back, I believe you’ve been fleeced,” he drawled
at Secretary of State John Kerry during a congressional appearance,
knowing, as he spoke, that his objections were meaningless, his
criticism pure posturing.
Even more hammy were Corker’s hilariously inaccurate predictions that
his rules could actually halt the Iran sellout. “Look, I don’t ever want
to overcommit and under-deliver,” he said in April. “We are moving in a
very positive direction, and we’ve worked through some issues that I
think have given me a lot of hope… I feel like were going to present a
bill tomorrow that keeps 100 percent of the integrity of the process
relevant to the nuclear agreement in place.”
He was confident that process would result in President Obama’s deal
dying on Capitol Hill–a confidence shared by no one capable of counting
how many Democrats had survived the 2014 midterm bloodbath.
As hilariously lame and awkward as Kerry’s sojourns to Congress were,
the Secretary could rightfully complain that it was all a gigantic waste
of his time anyway. The fix was in. The odds that a handful of Democrat
Senators could not be persuaded to spare their President a historic
embarrassment were incredibly small. No one ever really thought Obama
would have a hard time getting 34 members of his Party to meet the
absurdly low threshold Corker arranged.
This left the Democrats with plenty of room to indulge little
“conscience” dramas from a few Senators with Jewish and/or right-leaning
constituencies to mollify, notably Senator Chuck Schumer of New York.
That is one reason Corker’s deal was so foolish. Even if the Iran
sellout could not be stopped — because Obama went outside the American
political system to work with China and Russia at the United Nations,
cutting American voters and their representatives out of the loop
entirely — it was still important to make this painful for the
Democrats. Instead, Corker made it as painless as possible with his
“bipartisan” arrangement, leaving the Democrats plenty of room to
indulge members like Schumer, who had to pretend they were concerned
about national security and the fate of Israel.
It also became easier for the Obama Administration to conduct its
charade of “selling the deal.” Every salesman relaxes when he knows a
sloppy pitch is good enough to get the paperwork signed.
The key element of Corker’s “bipartisan compromise” is that it became
necessary for Congress to aggressively kill the deal, instead of voting
to support it. NPR accurately compared this to the way debt ceiling
increases work.
Instead of persuading the Senate to approve a deal that would shape the
future of the Middle East and impact American national security for
decades to come, it became necessary for the Senate to aggressively
disapprove the deal. Obama could veto the disapproval, and needed to
convince only 34 members of his own Party to declare they would not vote
to override his veto.
In theory, it is also possible for 41 senators to filibuster
congressional disapproval and spare President Obama the trouble of
breaking out his veto pen — an outcome made significantly more likely by
the sure and certain knowledge that his veto would be sustained anyway,
although that might require a few of those scam-artist Democrat
“conscientious objectors” to drop their act and vote to support the Iran
deal.
It would be a delicious
final humiliation for the Republicans if Obama can make that happen, and
it would give him a considerable political boost, because he could stage
a few tearful welcome-back embraces for Democrats who “came home.”
Public polling on the Iran deal is still dismal enough to make it hard
to pull off, however.
Politico’s post-mortem on the Iran saga portrays Corker as President
Obama’s man on the Republican side of the aisle, a slightly tetchy
player on a team quarterbacked by Democrat Ben Cardin of Maryland, who
became the top Senate Foreign Relations Committee Democrat after the
interestingly-timed corruption probe of New Jersey Senator Robert
Menendez, an opponent of the Iran deal.
“The low-key Cardin engaged in a furious round of negotiations with
gregarious Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman Bob Corker,
prompting something that was once viewed as almost unthinkable: a
bipartisan deal for Congress to review an Iran nuclear deal – with the
blessing of President Barack Obama and House Minority Leader Nancy
Pelosi,” Politico writes. Cardin served as “liaison” between Obama and
Corker, ostensibly a “blunt-spoken Tennessee Republican,” who was
“burning up the phones over the two-week congressional recess, keeping
at bay presidential hopefuls like Florida Sen. Marco Rubio as he sought
to find a middle ground on the highly charged issue.”
And that is just what Republican voters wanted when they crawled over
broken glass to give Republicans a seemingly impossible Senate majority
in 2014, right? Democrats still effectively running the Senate even
though they are in the minority, and a beaming Nancy Pelosi blessing
polite arrangements to give Barack Obama everything he wants, at minimal
political cost?
This is all a mirror image of the way President Obama’s hapless team got
taken to the cleaners by tough-talking Iranian negotiators, who knew
from Day One that Obama would give them nearly anything to get a deal,
and played their cards accordingly. Those negotiations also produced a
great deal of tough-guy theater from Kerry and Obama, but the Iranians
saw no reason to play along. At least the White House occasionally
pretended to be frustrated with the Corker Republicans, and worried
about the fate of its precious deal.
(A frequent complaint is that any significant congressional involvement
in the deal will make the Iranians think America is impossible to deal
with – something the Iranians never say about their legislature, which
they take pains to describe as a respected institution, no matter how
things actually work in the theocracy.)
The Iranians are guilty of many evils, but at least they never seemed
interested in staging Failure Theater performances for the global media.
That is all the Republican leadership has offered its voters throughout
most of the Obama era, perpetually fearful that any stiff legislative
battle would drain their account of the political capital they refuse to
spend.
Defenders of the Corker arrangement say the fix was really in when Obama
made it clear he would cut the American people out of the deal and
impose it through international arrangements, but a fighting party would
call a threat like that and force the President to carry it out – making
him bleed politically with every step, shouting from the mountaintop to
warn those marginalized Americans of how their representation had been
cast aside like garbage, to be replaced by foreign councils.
A fighting party would have made this process as difficult as possible
on their opponents, rather than working out bipartisan compromises to
grease the wheels, asking for little but a few spotlight moments to
voice their objections along the way. The GOP leadership supposedly
believes this Iran deal is a dangerous mistake that puts the future of
the world at risk, does it not?
Then why did they make
this deal as easy to pass as an automatic debt-ceiling increase, instead
of fighting like wildcats and making the Democrats pay for every inch of
ground they shoved this dead weight across? |
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