From city
councils to the U.S. Supreme Court, free speech and religious liberty
advocates continue to keep a watchful eye—and a hopeful attitude—on the
conflicts spilling over into 2018. As the new year begins, I asked
advocates in the areas of law, education, and public policy to forecast
the challenges and anticipated triumphs for 2018.
The respondents
were Brad Dacus, president of the Pacific Justice Institute; Gregory
Seltz, executive director of the Lutheran Center for Religious Liberty;
Matt Staver, chairman of Liberty Counsel; Zach Greenberg, the Justice
Robert H. Jackson legal fellow at the Foundation for Individual Rights
in Education; Russell Moore, executive director of the Ethics and
Religious Liberty Commission of the Southern Baptist Convention; and
Luke Goodrich, deputy general counsel at Becket. Responses have been
edited for length and clarity.
What First Amendment conflicts will receive the most attention in 2018?
Dacus: “The ongoing conflict between LGBTQ anti-discrimination laws and
rights of conscience.”
Seltz: “All things associated with marriage and gay marriage will
continue to dominate the cases in the near future because of the false
merging—my opinion, though shared by others—of the issues of marriage
and civil rights. With the false notion that gay marriage is a civil
right issue, rather than a First Amendment issue, and a government
encroachment issue, cases will ensue until such things are clarified.”
Moore: “The highest profile case will be Masterpiece Cakeshop and
related to that the Barronelle Stutzman case as well. I expect there to
be a flurry of litigation coming out of those cases regardless of what
happens [at the U.S. Supreme Court]. I see nine or 10 different
scenarios depending on how broadly or how narrowly the court rules and
in which direction. I think a great deal of religious liberty questions
will be held in abeyance until the court decides that case. … There’s
always the possibility that the ruling has enough ambiguity that it
creates further litigation.”
Greenberg: “In 2018, we could see the continued use of the ‘heckler’s
veto’ perpetuated by groups and individuals wishing to shut down
controversial speakers when they come to campus. Around graduation
season, we expect to see a spate of disinvitation attempts targeted at
controversial commencement speakers. We could also see more calls by
students, faculty, and administrators to ban ‘hate speech’ and offensive
expression on campus.”
Goodrich: “The interpretation of the Establishment Clause will continue
to be hotly contested in 2018, and the Supreme Court is poised to take
one of these cases in the near future. One good candidate involves a
historic cross that has stood in Pensacola, Fla., since World War II.”
What are some cases to watch in 2018 beyond Masterpiece Cakeshop?
Staver: “The pro-life crisis pregnancy care centers before the Supreme
Court, military religious freedom cases in light of the transgender
issue, other free speech cases colliding with the LGBT agenda, and the
counseling ban on change therapy prohibiting counselors from providing
and clients from receiving any counsel seeking to change or reduce
unwanted same-sex attractions, behavior, or identity.”
Moore: “I think there will continue to be conflicts over the transgender
question as well. … I think the transgender military issue has probably
received more attention than anything else related to those issues, but
I actually think that more contentious will be those issues as related
to educational institutions … [and] as it relates to the prison
system—how does the government define sex in terms of a system that is,
by necessity, sexually differentiated. Also, NIFLA v. Becerra—the
question of whether or not the government can essentially force pro-life
pregnancy centers to advocate for abortion. … And so that’s a
fundamental free speech case because if the government can require
pregnancy resource centers to essentially parrot the Planned Parenthood
line, then the government can do anything.”
Seltz: “Protecting Freedom of Conscience from Government Discrimination
Act. [The] Mississippi law was enacted to protect religious business
from outside coercion. It has been halted due to legal challenges. …
Such laws are being challenged due to the aggressiveness of the sexual
libertine factions of American culture which desire not merely to be
part of a ‘live and let live reality,’ but to be the new, culturally
‘norming’ reality for all.”
Goodrich: “The Little Sisters of the Poor are back in court, a case that
everyone should keep a close eye on. … [And] the Federal Emergency
Management Agency is denying churches, mosques, and synagogues from
receiving the same disaster relief grants made available to museums,
zoos, and community centers. … In Michigan, the ACLU is targeting
religious adoption agencies and trying to drive them out of providing
adoption and foster services simply because they have a religious-based
mission.”
What new conflicts do you anticipate in the coming year?
Seltz: “I think the academic construct of gender is creating a dystopia
in our culture that many expect the courts to decide. … Also, the SOGI
[sexual orientation and gender identity] laws and the challenges to any
who oppose them are going to be ongoing.”
Greenberg: “We anticipate continued calls for censorship on campus.
There will always be a tension between those advocating for free speech
and those calling for censorship.”
Dacus: “There will be an increase in laws that criminalize expression,
for example pronouns and street preaching.”
Do you see rays of hope on any of these fronts?
Greenberg: “The number of colleges with severely restricted speech codes
has been decreasing, and the number of universities that fully protect
free speech is increasing. Also, the number of colleges that employ
‘free speech zones’ has been decreasing.”
Staver: “Yes, we are winning many cases. We have an administration that
is favorable to religious liberty and committed to nominating judges and
justices that uphold the Constitution and the rule of law.”
Goodrich: “We see plenty of reason for hope. Becket is undefeated at the
U.S. Supreme Court and has a 95 percent win rate in the courts of
appeals. … These victories show that there is still strong, bipartisan
support for religious liberty in the courts. We expect more victories
this year, and our studies show that religious exemptions won in court
are durable and help a broad array of religious groups.”
Seltz: My greatest hope is that people begin to see again the uniqueness
of the American experiment, which saw traditional morality, even in its
‘outward, curbing action’ alone, is best striven for by ‘free,
religious, self-disciplining’ citizens and not by government’s coercive
power.”
Moore: I’m very hopeful—seeing the way many religious liberty issues
have been decided over the past several years. … I also see some good
developments happening at the local level and many of the most important
religious liberty questions are happening at the local level. … I’ve
seen a willingness for people to press their case forward, which is
necessary. One of the things I worried about several years ago is that
religious people would just not go through the ordeal of litigating some
of these questions, which of course would just set precedents that would
then oppress other people later. I’m very optimistic in seeing the way
people have been willing to take these cases on and to do so, for the
most part, I think, in a kind and persuasive sort of way.” |
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